I've filled-out my ballot and mailed it in so the 2008 election is basically over for me. I understand that campaigns are able to tell that I've submitted my ballot, so I will hopefully receive fewer campaign solicitations.
Here is my voters' guide for the Portland, Oregon ballot and some of the endorsements that contributed to my decision.
|
me↓ |
newspapers |
PACs & orgs |
WW↓
|
Merc↓ |
J.O.↓ |
TheO↓ |
Trib↓ |
Skan↓ |
LWV↓ |
EMO↓ |
BRO↓ |
NARAL↓ |
Sierra↓ |
WW: Willamette Week | Merc: Portland Mercury | J.O.: Just Out | TheO: The Oregonian | Trib: Portland Tribune | Skan: The Skanner | LWV: League of Women Voters of Oregon | EMO: Ecumenical Ministries of Oregon | BRO: Basic Rights Oregon Equality PAC | NARAL: NARAL Pro-Choice Oregon PAC | Sierra: Oregon Sierra Club |
|
Obama-Biden |
Obama-Biden |
Obama-Biden |
? |
Obama-Biden |
? |
Obama-Biden |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
Obama-Biden |
Obama-Biden |
US Senator (OR):
|
10/30, 500 "likely" OR voters, +/-4.5%, (Rasmussen Reports):
|
Merkley 49%
|
Smith 46%
|
4%
|
1%
|
10/28-10/30, 1,424 "likely" OR voters, +/-2.6%, (PPP (PDF)):
|
Merkley 51%
|
Smith 43%
|
4%
|
2%
|
10/25-10/26, 672 "likely" OR voters, +/-3.9%, (SurveyUSA):
|
Merkley 49%
|
Smith 42%
|
5%
|
4%
|
|
|
Merkley |
Merkley |
Merkley |
Merkley |
Smith |
Smith |
Merkley |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
Merkley |
Merkley |
US Representative (OR 1st District): |
Wu |
Wu |
? |
Haugen |
Wu |
? |
Wu |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
Wu |
OR Secretary of State:
|
10/28-10/30, 1,424 "likely" OR voters, +/-2.6%, (PPP (PDF)):
|
Brown 51%
|
Dancer 40%
|
9%
|
09/11-09/14, 500 OR voters, +/-4.4%, (DHM-Tribune):
|
Brown 33%
|
Dancer 25%
|
Undec. 38%
|
|
|
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
N/A |
N/A |
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
OR Treasurer:
|
10/28-10/30, 1,424 "likely" OR voters, +/-2.6%, (PPP (PDF)):
|
Westlund 47%
|
Alley 41%
|
12%
|
09/11-09/14, 500 OR voters, +/-4.4%, (DHM-Tribune):
|
Westlund 34%
|
Alley 22%
|
Undec. 40%
|
|
|
Westlund |
Alley |
Alley |
Westlund |
Alley |
Westlund |
Westlund |
N/A |
N/A |
Westlund |
Westlund |
Westlund |
OR Attorney General: |
Kroger |
Kroger |
Kroger |
Kroger |
Kroger |
? |
Kroger |
N/A |
N/A |
Kroger |
Kroger |
Kroger |
OR BOLI Commissioner: |
Avakian |
? |
Avakian |
Avakian |
Avakian |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
Avakian |
Avakian |
Avakian |
OR State Senator (District 18): |
Burdick |
Burdick |
Burdick |
? |
Burdick |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
Burdick |
OR State Representative (36th District): |
Nolan |
Nolan |
Nolan |
? |
Nolan |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
Nolan |
Nolan |
Nolan |
Multnomah County Sheriff: |
Skipper |
Skipper |
Skipper |
? |
Skipper |
Skipper |
Skipper |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
Portland City Commissioner, Position #1: |
Fritz |
Fritz |
Fritz |
Fritz |
Fritz |
Lewis |
Fritz |
N/A |
N/A |
green light: Fritz & Lewis |
green light: Fritz & Lewis |
Fritz |
OR Supreme Court Judge (Position 7): (unopposed incumbent) |
Walters |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
OR Court of Appeals Judge (Position 4): (unopposed incumbent) |
Sercombe |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
OR 4th District Circuit Court Judge (Position 18): (unopposed incumbent) |
Ryan |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
OR 4th District Circuit Court Judge (Position 21): (unopposed incumbent) |
Bushong |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
OR 4th District Circuit Court Judge (Position 27): (unopposed incumbent) |
Stuart |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
West Multnomah Soil & Water Conservation District Director, At Large 1: (No Candidate Filed) |
(None) |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
? |
? |
me↓↑ |
WW↓↑ |
Merc↓↑ |
J.O.↓↑ |
TheO↓↑ |
Trib↓↑ |
Skan↓↑ |
LWV↓↑ |
EMO↓↑ |
BRO↓↑ |
NARAL↓↑ |
Sierra↓↑ |
OR Measure 54: Removes 21-year-old voting requirement: |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Neutral |
? |
? |
OR Measure 55: Allows Legislators To Finish Term After Redistricting: |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Neutral |
Neutral |
? |
? |
OR Measure 56: Removes Property Tax Double Majority Requirement: |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
OR Measure 57: Increases Sentences and Addiction Treatment: |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
? |
? |
OR Measure 58: Limits ESL Teaching To Two Years: |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
? |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
? |
OR Measure 59: Creates Unlimited Oregon Income Tax Deduction: |
No |
No |
No |
? |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
OR Measure 60: Determines Teacher Pay By Undefined "Classroom Performance", Removes Seniority Pay: |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
? |
No |
Neutral |
No |
No |
No |
? |
OR Measure 61: Creates Mandatory Minimum Sentences for Some Crimes: |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
? |
OR Measure 62: Allocates 15% of Lottery to Public Safety: |
No |
No |
No |
? |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
OR Measure 63: Exempt Homeowners/Farmers From Building Codes: |
No |
No |
No |
? |
No |
? |
No |
No |
No |
Neutral |
No |
No |
OR Measure 64: Penalizes Public Employee Unions For Political Purpose: |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
? |
OR Measure 65: Top Two Run-Off Election System: |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
? |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
Neutral |
Neutral |
No |
? |
? |
Portland Measure 26-94: Renew $70M (0.04026%) Children's Investment Fund: |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
PCC Measure 26-95: $375M (0.03290%) Bond to Expand Facilities : |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
Metro Measure 26-96: $125M (0.00900%) Zoo Improvements: |
No |
No |
Yes |
? |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
? |
? |
? |
? |
? |
me↑ |
WW↑ |
Merc↑ |
J.O.↑ |
TheO↑ |
Trib↑ |
Skan↑ |
LWV↑ |
EMO↑ |
BRO↑ |
NARAL↑ |
Sierra↑ |
WW: Willamette Week | Merc: Portland Mercury | J.O.: Just Out | TheO: The Oregonian | Trib: Portland Tribune | Skan: The Skanner | LWV: League of Women Voters of Oregon | EMO: Ecumenical Ministries of Oregon | BRO: Basic Rights Oregon Equality PAC | NARAL: NARAL Pro-Choice Oregon PAC | Sierra: Oregon Sierra Club |
other races I'm watching:
|
US Representative (OR 5th District):
|
10/27-10/28, 668 OR 5th Dist voters, +/-3.9%, SurveyUSA:
|
Schrader 55%
|
Erickson 31%
|
14%
|
|
|
me↓
|
WW↓
|
Merc↓ |
J.O.↓ |
TheO↓ |
Trib↓ |
Skan↓ |
LWV↓ |
EMO↓ |
BRO↓ |
NARAL↓ |
Sierra↓ |
N/A |
Schrader |
? |
Schrader |
Schrader |
Schrader |
Schrader |
N/A |
N/A |
? |
Schrader |
Schrader |
US Senator (MN):
I'm a fan of Franken and think it's great that a critic is actually running for office. It would also be great to win back Paul Wellstone's seat.
|
10/30-11/01, 699 "likely" MN voters, +/-3.9%, SurveyUSA:
|
Coleman 44%
|
Franken 39%
|
16%
|
1%
|
10/28-10/30, 1,050 "likely" MN voters, +/-3.0%, PPP (pdf):
|
Franken 45%
|
Coleman 40%
|
14%
|
1%
|
10/28, 500 "likely" MN voters, +/-4.5%, Rasmussen Reports:
|
Coleman 43%
|
Franken 39%
|
14%
|
4%
|
10/22, 500 "likely" MN voters, +/-4.5%, Rasmussen Reports:
|
Franken 41%
|
Coleman 37%
|
17%
|
5%
|
|
|
US Senator (NC):
Admittedly as a partisan, I think it would be sweet payback that Dole would lose Jesse Helms' seat after only one term. Unfortunately, Hagan has refused to issue a statement regarding LGBT issues (see: Pam's House Blend).
|
10/31-11/02, 2,100 "likely" NC voters, +/-2.1%, PPP (pdf):
|
Hagan 51%
|
Dole 44%
|
3%
|
1%
|
10/30-11/02, 682 "likely" and actual NC voters, +/-3.8%, SurveyUSA:
|
Hagan 50%
|
Dole 43%
|
5%
|
2%
|
10/18-10/20, 627 "likely" NC voters, +/-4%, SurveyUSA:
|
Hagan 46%
|
Dole 45%
|
5%
|
3%
|
|
|
WA Governor:
I favor the Democratic candidate for governor of the neighboring state.
|
10/30-11/02, 663 likely/actual WA voters, +/-3.9%, SurveyUSA:
|
Gregoire 52%
|
Rossi 46%
|
2%
|
10/26-10/27, 630 likely/actual WA voters, +/-4%, SurveyUSA:
|
Gregoire 50%
|
Rossi 48%
|
2%
|
|
|
WA Initiative 1000: Right To Die:
Law is similar to OR's physician assisted suicide which I support.
|
10/30-11/02, 663 likely/actual WA voters, +/-3.9%, SurveyUSA:
|
Yes 55%
|
No 40%
|
5%
|
10/26-10/27, 630 likely/actual WA voters, +/-4%, SurveyUSA:
|
Yes 54%
|
No 37%
|
9%
|
|
|
CA Proposition 8: Anti-Gay Marriage Constitutional Amendment:
|
10/29-10/31, 637 CA "likely" voters, +/-4%, SurveyUSA:
|
No 50%
|
Yes 47%
|
3%
|
10/18-10/28, 966 CA "likely" voters, +/-3.3%, Field Poll (pdf):
|
No 49%
|
Yes 44%
|
7%
|
10/12-10/19, 1,186 CA "likely" voters, +/-3%, PPIC:
|
No 52%
|
Yes 44%
|
6%
|
10/15-10/16, 615 "likely" CA voters, +/-4%, SurveyUSA:
|
Yes 48%
|
No 45%
|
7%
|
|
|
|
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